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DOMAIN 0514 PUBLISHED GUIDES

Mathematics & Probability

Formal laws and statistical regularities involving uncertainty, distributions, games, and quantitative structure.

CENTRAL QUESTION

Which patterns follow from structure and uncertainty?

Working scale
Axioms to real datasets
Primary lens
Proof + statistical inference
14Published
04Defined subfields
FULLSource standard
ENEditorial language
SUBCATEGORY MAP

The field at a glance.

Each subfield has a distinct object of study. Published areas are active now; planned areas show how the collection will grow.

01
Probability

Events, uncertainty, conditioning, and long-run behavior.

Published
02
Statistics

Inference, estimation, testing, and uncertainty in data.

Published
03
Distributions

Recurring shapes in how quantities and frequencies are spread.

Published
04
Game Theory

Strategic choices made in response to other decision-makers.

Published
PUBLISHED GUIDES

In Mathematics & Probability

Every guide includes meaning, mechanism, applications, limitations, related concepts, and traceable references.

Distributions004

Statistical regularity

Benford's Law

In many naturally occurring datasets, the leading digit is 1 far more often than 9, following a logarithmic distribution.

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Probability014

Fundamental probability theorem

Law of Large Numbers

Sample averages, convergence, weak and strong forms, finite-sample uncertainty, and the gambler fallacy.

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Probability018

Conditional probability theorem

Bayes' Theorem

Evidence updates a prior belief by comparing how expected that evidence is under competing possibilities.

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Statistics019

Asymptotic statistical theorem

Central Limit Theorem

Under broad conditions, properly standardized sums or averages of many independent contributions approach a normal distribution.

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Game Theory030

Strategic equilibrium concept

Nash Equilibrium

A strategy profile is a Nash equilibrium when no player can improve their expected payoff by changing strategy alone while the others keep theirs fixed.

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Distributions041

Scale-free functional relation and tail model

Power Law

A quantity follows a power law when relative changes in scale produce proportional changes governed by a fixed exponent, often creating heavy-tailed variation.

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Game Theory045

Social-choice impossibility theorem

Arrow's Impossibility Theorem

With at least three alternatives, no rank-order aggregation rule can satisfy unrestricted domain, Pareto efficiency, independence of irrelevant alternatives, and non-dictatorship simultaneously.

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Probability051

Collision-probability result

Birthday Paradox

A group needs surprisingly few people before the probability that at least two share a birthday becomes substantial, because the number of possible pairs grows quadratically.

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Probability060

Distribution-free probability bound

Markov's Inequality

For any nonnegative random variable, the probability of exceeding a positive threshold cannot be greater than the mean divided by that threshold.

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Probability087

Probability inequality

Chebyshev's Inequality

For any distribution with finite variance, the probability of being at least k standard deviations from the mean is no greater than 1/k squared.

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Statistics088

Statistical selection effect

Regression to the Mean

When two measurements are imperfectly correlated, units selected for an extreme first value tend to be less extreme on a subsequent measurement.

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Statistics089

Aggregation reversal

Simpson's Paradox

A trend that appears within every relevant group can weaken, disappear, or reverse after the groups are combined with different weights.

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Probability090

Conditional-probability problem

Monty Hall Problem

With three doors, a prize placed uniformly, and a host who always reveals a goat behind an unchosen door, switching wins with probability two thirds.

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Game Theory091

Collective-decision theorem

Condorcet Jury Theorem

If voters independently choose between two alternatives and each is more likely than not to be correct, majority accuracy approaches one as the group grows.

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CROSS-DOMAIN LINKS

No field stands alone.

These connections show where the domain borrows methods, mechanisms, or evidence from the rest of the library.

01Nature & Cosmos

Mathematics & Probability expresses physical relations.

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02Economics & Organizations

Mathematics & Probability measures collective outcomes.

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03Technology & Computation

Mathematics & Probability powers algorithms.

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EDITORIAL STANDARD
Explain the mechanism

A law earns its place by clarifying how a pattern is produced, not only by naming it.

State the boundary

Scientific status, operating range, evidence quality, and common misuse stay visible.

Link the evidence

Original publications, official records, and serious scholarship take priority.